Original articles
Vol. 116: VOL. 116: ISSUE 4 - AUGUST 2024
A preliminary study on the diagnostic performance of the uPath PD-L1 (SP263) artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm in patients with NSCLC treated with PD-1/ PD-L1 checkpoint blockade
Abstract
Objective. The uPath PD-L1 (SP263) is an AI-based platform designed to aid pathologists in identifying and quantifying PD-L1 positive tumor cells in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) samples stained with the SP263 assay.
Methods. In this preliminary study, we explored the diagnostic performance of the uPath PD-L1 algorithm in defining PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS) and predict clinical outcomes in a series of patients with advanced stage NSCLC treated with single agent PD-1/ PD-L1 checkpoint blockade previously assessed with the SP263 assay in clinical practice.
Results. 44 patients treated from August 2015 to January 2019 were included, with baseline PD-L1 TPS of ≥ 50%, 1-49% and < 1% in 38.6%, 25.0% and 36.4%, respectively. The median uPath PD-L1 score was 6 with a significant correlation with the baseline PD-L1 TPS (r: 0.83, p < 0.01). However, only 27 cases (61.4%) were scored within the same clinically relevant range of expression (≥ vs < 50%). In the study population the baseline PD-L1 TPS was not significantly associated with clinical outcomes, while the uPath PD-L1 score showed a good diagnostic ability for the risk of death at the ROC curve analysis [AUC: 0.81 (95%CI: 0.66-0.91), optimal cut-off of ≥ 3.2], resulting in 19 patients (43.2%) being u-Path low and 25 patients (56.8%) being uPath high. The objective response rate in uPath high and low was 51.6% and 25.0% (p = 0.1), respectively, although the uPath was significantly associated with overall survival (OS, HR 2.45, 95%CI: 1.19-5.05) and progression free survival (PFS, HR 3.04, 95%CI: 1.51-6.14). At the inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis used to balance baseline covariates, the uPath categories confirmed to be independently associated with OS and PFS.
Conclusions. This preliminary analysis suggests that AI-based, digital pathology tools such as uPath PD-L1 (SP263) can be used to optimize already available biomarkers for immune-oncology treatment in patients with NSCLC.
Introduction
With the advent of programmed death/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-1/PD-L1) immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) the treatment scenario of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has radically changed 1, leading to an overall improvement of the prognosis of many patients with non-oncogene addicted disease 2. However, only a subset of patients derives long-term benefit from these therapies, also due to the lack of high-performance predictive biomarkers.
The immunohistochemical expression of PD-L1 on tumor cells through the Tumor Proportion Score (TPS) is the only validated and routinary used biomarker 3,4, with several assays available in clinical practice, such as the 22C3 PharmDx and SP263. Even though harmonization studies demonstrated high correlation between different methodologies 5 and a certain level of interobserver reproducibility 6, several limitations have been highlighted, mainly related to inherent analytical aspects and predictive performance 7.
Current improvements in technology have produced whole slide scanners that can digitize a glass microscope slide and produce high resolution whole slide images (WSI) that can be stored and reviewed by pathologists. In addition, with digital pathology techniques, computational deep learning-based analyses can be applied to WSI to extract information and obtain quantitative data that can be used to predict outcomes 8. Therefore, even complex patterns can be assessed by artificial intelligence (AI) based models, overcoming the limitations associated with manual scoring and human bias.
The uPath PD-L1 image analysis for NSCLC (uPath PD-L1 (SP263) AI algorithm) is designed to aid pathologists in identifying and quantifying PD-L1 positive tumor cells in NSCLC samples stained with the SP263 assay 9.
In this preliminary study, we explored the diagnostic performance of the uPath PD-L1 algorithm in defining PD-L1 TPS and predict clinical outcomes in a series of patients with advanced stage NSCLC treated with single agent PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint blockade previously assessed with the SP263 assay in clinical practice.
Materials and methods
STUDY DESIGN
This is a retrospective study aimed at exploring the diagnostic ability for clinical outcomes of a new digital-pathology based technique, termed uPath PD-L1, to assess PD-L1 expression on tumor cells from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue, in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitor monotherapy in clinical practice.
Patients whose PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS) had been assessed in clinical practice with the SP263 immunohistochemical antibody at the participating institutions (Tab. I) and treated with single agent PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors from August 2015 to January 2019 were included in the analysis.
The primary clinical endpoint of interest was overall survival (OS), defined as the time interval from treatment initiation to death or lost to follow-up. As secondary clinical endpoints we assessed the progression free survival (PFS), defined as the time interval from treatment initiation to disease progression or death, whichever occurred first, and objective response rate (ORR), defined as the proportion of patients experiencing an objective response (complete or partial response) as best response to treatment. Patients were assessed with radiological imaging in clinical practice, with a frequency ranging from 12 to 16 weeks; investigators were asked to provide disease assessment following the RECIST criteria v. 1.1. Patients alive at the data cut-off date were censored at the date of the last clinical follow-up for OS, while patients who did not experience disease progression by the data cut-off date were censored at the date of the last radiological assessment for PFS. The data cut-off period was September 2019.
All cases evaluated with the uPath PD-L1 system were previously centralized in a single institution and immunostained, immediately before the uPath analysis.
The TPS analysis with the uPath PD-L1 system was collectively conducted in dedicated sections by all the trained pathologists involved in the study.
After having assessed the PD-L1 tumor expression with the uPath, we explored its diagnostic performance for the risk of death with a Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) analysis, in order to establish an optimal cut-off. We then evaluated clinical outcomes using the established cut-off for uPath PD-L1 with univariable analysis, and to provide preliminary evidence of the potentially improved diagnostic performance of the uPath based assessment of PD-L1, we explored OS and PFS according to the conventional PD-L1 TPS previously assessed in clinical practice. Finally, we validated with multivariable analysis using Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighing (ITPW) procedures the differential effect of conventional PD-L1 TPS assessment and the uPath PD-L1 assessment in determining clinical outcomes.
PD-L1 EXPRESSION
Being an observational retrospective study with no intervention planned, only patients whose PD-L1 TPS had been previously assessed in clinical practice with the SP263 immunohistochemical antibody were considered eligible. In addition, to ensure reproducibility of our preliminary findings, we restricted the analysis to patients with previously assessed PD-L1 TPS from FFPE tissue (either from the primary tumor or metastatic sites), while patients with only cytological samples available were excluded.
Five μm sections immunostained with Ventana SP263 antibody on the Ultra benchmark platform were digitized with the Ventana DP 200 scanner, ensuring high-resolution images at 40x magnification. These digital slides were then uploaded onto the uPath platform for analysis, leveraging a specialized algorithm designed to calculate the PD-L1 expression percentage 9. This AI algorithm is trained by a pathologist and provides a reliable and reproducible target score for scanned images9. Considering that the software offers the possibility to analyze the entire slide before pathologist’s evaluation, or to provide results for each pathologist-selected area of interest, referred to as Region Of Interest (ROI) 9, we opted to specifically apply the algorithm to ROI on the basis of a preliminary analysis suggesting more accurate results (data not shown). For example, on the basis of each sample features, we excluded necrotic or suppurative areas that might have potentially affected TPS values. In addition, it computes the average score across all ROIs. Once the analysis is complete, the software visually distinguishes between positively and negatively stained tumor cells by marking them with red and blue dots, respectively 9.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
Descriptive statistics were used to report baseline clinic-pathologic characteristics. The chi-square test was used to determine associations between categorical variables. Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) was used to test the correlation between PD-L1 TPS previously assessed in clinical practice and the uPath PD-L1 TPS value. The median period of follow-up was computed with the reverse Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox proportional hazard regression was used to compute the hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and the predicted probabilities for death using the uPath PD-L1 as a continuous independent variable. Subsequently, we used a ROC curve analysis to compute the area under the curve (AUC) for the risk of death according to the uPath PD-L1 predicted probabilities and determined an optimal cut-off for survival using Youden’s J statistic.
Univariable analyses of OS and PFS were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Considering the limited sample size, IPTW procedures to mitigate the potentially different distribution of patient’s characteristics according to the conventional PD-L1 TPS subgroups (≥50% vs < 50%) and the uPath PD-L1 subgroups (high vs low), in order to run IPTW-fitted analyses for each clinical outcome. The included covariates were: age (≥ vs < 70 years), gender (male vs female), histology (squamous vs non-squamous), smoking status (ever smoker vs smoker), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) (0-1 vs ≥ 2), number of metastatic sites (> 2 vs ≤ 2) and treatment line (first vs non-first). Lastly, considering that the data source consisted of four different centers, and that baseline PD-L1 TPS assessment can be operator-dependent, a conditional interpretation for participating center by using frailty models was applied to correct all the 95%CI of Cox regressions.
Analyses were performed using the R-studio software, R Core Team 2021 (R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria), and the MedCalc® Statistical Software version 20 (MedCalc Software Ltd, Ostend, Belgium; https://www.medcalc.org; 2021).
Results
COHORT CHARACTERISTICS
Overall, 44 patients were included in the analysis, with a median age of 67 years (range: 39-89). As reported in Table II, the majority of patients were males (31, 70.5%), ever smokers (31 (70.5%), had non-squamous histology (23, 52.3%), presented a baseline ECOG-PS of 0-1 (32, 72.7%), had ≤ 2 metastatic sites and were treated in the advanced line setting (29, 65.9%). Baseline PD-L1 TPS were ≥ 50% in 17 patients (38.6%), 1-49% in 11 patients (25.0%) and < 1% in 16 patients (36.4%), with a median value of 15% (range: < 1%-100%, IQR: < 1%-60%). The baseline TPS assigned with the SP263 test was blindly recalculated by the panel of pathologist involved in the study. No major discrepancies affecting treatment decision were observed.
PD-L1 EXPRESSION ANALYSIS
After PD-L1 image digitalization the uPath algorithm was applied to all the 44 patients of the cohort resulting in a median uPath PD-L1 score of 6 (range: 0-88.2; IQR: 0.9-38.5) and a significant correlation with the baseline PD-L1 TPS (r: 0.83, 95%CI: 0.71-0.91, p < 0.0001, Tab. III). Applying the standard cut-off of 50%, the results of the analysis are consistent with those obtained with the conventional method in 61.4% of cases, for a total of 27 cases falling within the same range of expression (≥ 50% vs < 50%), being therefore potentially eligible for the same front line, ICI-based treatment with both analytical approaches. However, in 17 (38.6%) of cases, a discrepancy was found between the two techniques. The two most frequent situations in discordant cases were the following: cases with low expression of PD-L1 with a change from a value < 1% with conventional method to one within the range 1-49% with the uPath algorithm; cases with intermediate/high expression with transition from a value > 50% with conventional analysis to one within the range 1-49% with the uPath algorithm (Tab. III). Some examples of PD-L1 images analyzed with the conventional method and the uPath algorithm are provided in Figure 1.
CLINICAL OUTCOMES
The median follow-up for the entire cohort was 18.2 months (95%CI: 15.0-28.2). When used as a continuous variable, the uPath PD-L1 score was not significantly associated with the risk of death (HR 0.99, 95%CI: 0.97-1.01). We subsequently used the predicted probability of death for each uPath PD-L1 value to run a ROC curve analysis for the risk of death, which showed a good diagnostic ability of the uPath PD-L1 score with an AUC of 0.81 (95%CI: 0.66-0.91; p < 0.0001, Fig. 2A) and an optimal cut-off set at ≥ 3.2, resulting in 19 patients (43.2%) being u-Path low and 25 patients (56.8%) being uPath high.
When used as a categorical variable, the uPath score was not associated with tumor response as the ORR among the uPath low and uPath high group were 25.0% (95%CI: 3.0-90.3) and 51.6% (95%CI: 29.5-83.8) (p = 0.1839, Fig. 2B). However, uPath was significantly associated with OS (HR 2.45, 95%CI: 1.19-5.05, Fig. 2C) and PFS (HR 3.04, 95%CI: 1.51-6.14, Fig. 2D).
We then assessed OS and PFS according to the baseline PD-L1 TPS with univariable analysis in the study cohort as summarized in Figure 3 A-D, with no significant association when used as a three-category variable (≥ 50% vs 1-49% vs < 1%) nor when used as a dichotomous variable (≥ 50% vs < 50%).
To minimize the differential distribution of baseline characteristics according to the uPath PD-L1 stratification, we performed an IPTW procedure as reported in Table IV. The IPTW-fitted analysis eventually confirmed the u-Path PD-L1 as an independent predictor of OS (HR 2.09, 95%CI: 1.02-4.29, Fig. 4A) and PFS (HR 2.73, 95%CI: 1.42-5.26, Fig. 4B). Table V reports the IPTW stratification according to the conventional PD-L1 TPS category, with the IPTW-fitted analysis according to the conventional PD-L1 showing no significant impact on clinical outcomes (Figs. 4C and 4D).
Discussion
Response and clinical benefit to ICI therapy is defined by a variety of intertwined factors including tumoral and host determinants. The treatment landscape of NSCLC is constantly evolving and additional predictive biomarkers beyond PD-L1 expression have been the focus of intense research 10, while AI-based techniques are increasingly used to optimize already available information and inform clinical decisions, including digital/AI-based pathology technologies 11.
In this study, we explored the diagnostic performance for clinical outcomes of the uPath PD-L1 algorithm in a cohort of advanced stage NSCLC treated with single agent PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in comparison to the conventional TPS method. Despite the significant correlation (r: 0.83) between the two methodologies, we found inconsistencies using pre-established PD-L1 categories, partially colliding with previously reported data using other AI-assisted PD-L1 estimation techniques 12. Using the 50% cut-off, only 61.4% of the cases fell within the same diagnostic range (≥ vs < 50%), while 38.6% of cases showed mixed results, with important potential implications for the first-line single agent vs combination chemo-immunotherapy eligibility.
These discrepancies resemble a recent study, where although the implementation of the uPath algorithm improved the concordance of assessing PD-L1 expression between pathologists, a shift of the clinically relevant category (negative/weak/strong expression) was reported for several cases 13. Inter-test inconsistencies can occur because the algorithm has a better computational capacity than a pathologist, allowing quick and accurate enumeration of tumor cells on the digitalized slide, especially in low ranges of expression (between 1 and 10%). This could explain scenarios in which the TPS data has changed from a value < 1% with the conventional method to one within the range 1-49% with the AI algorithm.
In addition, the AI algorithm has shown remarkable precision in detecting and assessing membrane positivity. Traditional pathologist analysis can be labor-intensive, especially in instances with heterogeneous PD-L1 expression and in cases involving slides obtained from surgical samples. These instances require the evaluation of large sections of tumor tissue at high magnification. Under a light microscope, it can often be challenging to differentiate cytoplasmic staining, which should not be included in the TPS calculation, from membrane immunoreactivity which should be counted. For cases showing high expression ranges (≥ 50%) this may lead a pathologist to overestimate the number of positive tumor cells and assign a higher TPS value than what is calculated with the AI algorithm. In relation to this, the data obtained through AI tends to display TPS values that are lower than those conventionally evaluated, particularly for cases with intermediate or high expression. This discrepancy could have resulted in variations from a TPS value greater than 50% with conventional analysis to a value within the 1-49% range using the AI algorithm.
The greater accuracy of the uPath PD-L1 is reflected in the survival analysis, as the conventional PD-L1 TPS was not significantly associated with clinical outcomes in the included cohort, whilst the uPath PD-L1 score showed a significant diagnostic ability for the risk of death (AUC: 0.81). In addition, with the preliminary established cut-off of ≥ 3.2% the uPath PD-L1 showed to be significantly associated with OS and PFS even in IPTW-fitted models, while uPath PD-L1 high showed numerically increased tumor response in comparison to uPath PD-L1 low patients (51.6% vs 25.0%).
In keeping with our results, a recent study have confirmed a better TPS evaluation through the use of AI assistance compared to conventional analysis alone and, therefore, a better prediction of the therapeutic response 14.
Our study acknowledges several limitations, mainly deriving from its retrospective design and the small sample size, which did not allow us to make a fully powered analysis for clinical outcomes and to properly assess the uPath PD-L1 score through separate training and validation cohorts. The limited sample size additionally limited our ability to explore the uPath PD-L1 score as a continuous variable. However, this exploratory analysis sums up to the accumulating evidence indicating the possible implementation of AI-based techniques in modern day pathology, to optimize currently available biomarkers.
Conclusions
Our preliminary study indicates the uPath PD-L1 (SP263) AI algorithm is a potential tool to improve the diagnostic ability of the PD-L1 TPS in patients with advanced stage NSCLC treated with PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint blockade and supports further research efforts to fully validate its use in clinical practice.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Roche Diagnostics kindly supplied the Ventana DP200 Scanner with relative software and the algorithm license.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST STATEMENT
The authors disclose no conflicts of interest in relation to the published work.
Alessio Cortellini received grants for consultancies/advisory boards: BMS, MSD, OncoC4, IQVIA, Roche, GSK, AstraZeneca, Access Infinity, Ardelis Health and REGENERON. He also received speaker fees from AstraZeneca, EISAI, MSD, SANOFI/REGENERON and Pierre-Fabre. All other authors declare no conflict of interest.
FUNDING
This study was partially funded by the National Operational Program (PON) ARS01_01195 from the Italian Ministry of Education, University and Research (MIUR).
AUTHORS’ CONTRIBUTIONS
All authors contributed to the publication according to the ICMJE guidelines for the authorship (study conception and design, acquisition of data, analysis and interpretation of data, drafting of manuscript, critical revision). All authors read and approved the submitted version of the manuscript (and any substantially modified version that involves the author’s contribution to the study). Each author has agreed both to be personally accountable for the author’s own contributions and to ensure that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work, even ones in which the author was not personally involved, are appropriately investigated, resolved, and the resolution documented in the literature.
ETHICAL CONSIDERATION
The procedures followed were in accordance with the precepts of Good Clinical Practice and the declaration of Helsinki. The study was approved by the respective local ethical committees on human experimentation of each institution, after previous approval by the coordinating center (Comitato Etico per le province di Chieti e Pescara, IRB ID approval N.25, 6 December 2018).
History
Received: March 22, 2024
Accepted: July 12, 2024
Figures and tables
Center | N (%) |
---|---|
University Hospital of L’Aquila, L’Aquila, Italy | 19 (43.2) |
University Hospital of Chieti, Chieti, Italy | 10 (22.7) |
Sant’ Andrea University Hospital, Rome, Italy | 2 (4.5) |
St. Camillo-Forlanini Hospital, Rome, Italy | 13 (29.5) |
Total | 44(100) |
Variable | Overall 44 N (%) |
---|---|
Age | |
Median (range) | 67 (39-89) |
< 70 years | 26 (59.1) |
≥ 70 years | 18 (40.9) |
Gender | |
Female | 13 (29.5) |
Male | 31 (70.5) |
Histology | |
Non-Squamous | 23 (52.3) |
Squamous | 21 (47.7) |
Smoking status | |
Ever smokers | 31 (70.5) |
Never smokers | 13 (29.5) |
ECOG-PS | |
0-1 | 32 (72.7) |
≥ 2 | 12 (27.3) |
Number of metastatic sites | |
≤ 2 | 25 (56.8) |
> 2 | 19 (43.2) |
Treatment line | |
First | 15 (34.1) |
Non-first | 29 (65.9) |
Treatment regimen | |
Nivolumab | 27 (61.4) |
Pembrolizumab | 17 (38.6) |
PD-L1 TPS | |
≥ 50% | 17 (38.6) |
1-49% | 11 (25.0) |
< 1% | 16 (36.4) |
ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; PD-L1: programmed death ligand 1; TPS: tumor proportion score. |
Sample ID | PD-L1 TPS | u-Path PD-L1 |
---|---|---|
1 | 100 | 88.2 |
2 | 100 | 50.8 |
3 | 100 | 49.2 |
4 | 100 | 40 |
5 | 95 | 81 |
6 | 95 | 56.4 |
7 | 95 | 47.5 |
8 | 80 | 84.5 |
9 | 80 | 66.9 |
10 | 80 | 21.7 |
11 | 60 | 80.9 |
12 | 60 | 22.5 |
13 | 60 | 9.9 |
14 | 52 | 23.6 |
15 | 50 | 69 |
16 | 50 | 37.1 |
17 | 50 | 21.7 |
18 | 40 | 25.4 |
19 | 40 | 8.6 |
20 | 40 | 2.7 |
21 | 35 | 0.6 |
22 | 15 | 8.6 |
23 | 15 | 1.5 |
24 | 10 | 5.4 |
25 | 5 | 3.2 |
26 | 5 | 2 |
27 | 5 | 1.7 |
28 | 5 | 1.4 |
29 | 0 | 7.1 |
30 | 0 | 6.6 |
31 | 0 | 3.7 |
32 | 0 | 2.4 |
33 | 0 | 1 |
34 | 0 | 1 |
35 | 0 | 0.8 |
36 | 0 | 0.7 |
37 | 0 | 0.5 |
38 | 0 | 0.5 |
39 | 0 | 0.5 |
40 | 0 | 0.4 |
41 | 0 | 0.1 |
42 | 0 | 0.1 |
43 | 0 | 0 |
44 | 0 | 0 |
u-PATH high (%) | u-PATH low (%) | P value | u-PATH high Weighted (%) | u-PATH low Weighted (%) | P value | SMD | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Smoking status | |||||||
Never smokers | 44 | 10.5 | 0.03 | 36.5 | 17.8 | 0.33 | 0.43 |
Sex | |||||||
Male | 64.0 | 78.9 | 0.45 | 62.8 | 61.7 | 0.95 | 0.02 |
Age | |||||||
≥ 70 years old | 48.0 | 31.6 | 0.43 | 51.2 | 56.6 | 0.77 | 0.10 |
ECOG-PS | |||||||
≥ 2 | 12.0 | 47.4 | 0.02 | 15.5 | 45.7 | 0.09 | 0.69 |
Number of metastatic sites | |||||||
> 2 | 40.0 | 47.4 | 0.85 | 37.1 | 32.8 | 0.79 | 0.09 |
Treatment line | |||||||
Non-first | 48.0 | 89.5 | 0.01 | 55.0 | 73.3 | 0.43 | 0.38 |
Histology | |||||||
Non-squamous | 48.0 | 47.4 | 1.0 | 45.8 | 42.9 | 0.87 | 0.05 |
ECOG-PS: easter cooperative oncology group-performance status; IPTW: inverse probability of treatment weighing. |
PD-L1 ≥50% (%) | u PD-L1 < 50% (%) | P value | PD-L1 ≥50% Weighted (%) | u PD-L1 < 50% Weighted (%) | P value | SMD | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Smoking status | |||||||
Never smokers | 52.9 | 14.8 | 0.018 | 30.1 | 18.9 | 0.49 | 0.26 |
Sex | |||||||
Male | 76.5 | 66.7 | 0.723 | 52.8 | 64.8 | 0.61 | 0.24 |
Age | |||||||
≥ 70 years old | 41.2 | 40.7 | 1.00 | 42.1 | 45.0 | 0.89 | 0.05 |
ECOG-PS | |||||||
≥ 2 | 17.6 | 33.3 | 0.43 | 27.3 | 37.6 | 0.55 | 0.22 |
Number of metastatic sites | |||||||
> 2 | 52.9 | 37.0 | 0.46 | 10.9 | 33.1 | 0.10 | 0.55 |
Treatment line | |||||||
Non-first | 23.5 | 92.6 | < 0.01 | 65.0 | 88.1 | 0.10 | 0.56 |
Histology | |||||||
Non-squamous | 41.2 | 51.9 | 0.70 | 35.9 | 49.3 | 0.54 | 0.27 |
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